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This Ceasefire Could Mark the Death of Iran’s Axis of Resistance
Amit Segal
April 9, 2026

…Iranian negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has already declared negotiations “unreasonable” under the current conditions. Furthermore, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps have claimed that shipping in the Strait of Hormuz has been halted and will not resume until Israel’s attacks in Lebanon cease. Israel does not seem intent on ending its campaign, so the question becomes: Who will break first? The answer is about far more than interpretation of the ceasefire agreement; it is a fundamental question of whose strategy survived Operation Roaring Lion. If Iran breaks and leaves its proxy at the mercy of Israel, then the Axis of Resistance has officially broken. The Iranian guarantee becomes as worthless as their currency, and its proxies will have to chart their own courses, if not disintegrate altogether. Conversely, if Israel concedes, then it has surrendered its post-October 7 security doctrine: Never allow threats to build up on the borders. In the post-Roaring Lion world, only one doctrine can survive. READ MORE