“Israel’s ‘proportionate’ responses are a thing of the past. Now we understand we can’t live with terrorists”

WALL STREET JOURNAL
The New Israeli Rules of Engagement
Amit Segal
March 4, 2026

The Israeli defense establishment realized as early as the night between October 6 and October 7, 2023, that something was stirring in Gaza. They knew, yet they did nothing. The paralyzing fear was “miscalculation”: the worry that if the IDF moved forces, Hamas would interpret it as an escalation, fighting would ignite, and the coveted “quiet” would be shattered. This was Israel’s state of mind in 2021. The head of the Shin Bet compared it to a patient whose vital signs were all in decline. When a person fails to exercise their muscles for an extended period, they become a couch potato. Decades of containment, restraint, and forbearance caused Israel to appear more vulnerable than ever in the eyes of its enemies. Two and a half years later, Israel stands at the pinnacle of its power in the Middle East. This transformation occurred only after it shed every rule it had gradually adopted since the 1980s. READ MORE

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“America is in this fight because of China. Specifically, it is about dismantling the most significant Chinese forward base outside of East Asia”

FREE PRESS
This Isn’t Israel’s War. It’s America’s.
Haviv Rettig Gur
March 3, 2026

The debate about the U.S.’s war in Iran is everywhere. It is threatening to split the conservative movement, dividing it between those who see it as Donald Trump’s breaking of a promise against new wars and those who see it as a necessary confrontation long overdue. Progressives, predictably, frame it as another Middle Eastern adventure dragged out of Washington by the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC). Anti-war libertarians call it regime change in a new dress. And across the world, from Brazil to Beijing, London to Karachi, the argument is the same: America is fighting Israel’s war. But this isn’t true. And the confusion matters, because if you misread what this war is actually about, you will misread everything that follows. READ MORE

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“For 47 years, the Islamic Republic has targeted Americans directly or through proxies”

URBAN WARFARE
Iran’s War on the United States Did Not Start Yesterday
John Spencer
March 1, 2026

Iran started a war against the United States in 1979. It has never stopped. That is not rhetorical flourish. It is historical fact. On November 4, 1979, Iranian militants seized the U.S. Embassy in Tehran and held 52 Americans hostage for 444 days. That was not a protest. It was a declaration. The newly established Islamic Republic defined itself in opposition to the United States and built its foreign policy around confrontation with America and its allies. Since then, the pattern has been consistent. In 1983, 241 American Marines were murdered in the Beirut barracks bombing, an attack carried out by Hezbollah with Iranian backing. It remains one of the deadliest single days for the Marine Corps since World War II. During the Iraq War, Iranian-backed militias killed 603 U.S. service members, according to Pentagon assessments…The campaign never ended. It evolved. READ MORE

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“Turkey has blanketed the region, leaving it well positioned to fill the void left by the Islamic Republic”

FDD
Beware Turkey’s ambitions in the post-Iran power vacuum
Jonathan Schanzer
March 4, 2026

…A better question is this: Which regional powers may try to fill the vacuum after Iran’s dictatorship falls? Tehran has for years projected power by proxy across the Middle East, sponsoring terrorist groups like Hamas in Gaza, Hezbollah in Lebanon, the Houthis in Yemen, Shiite militias in Iraq, and other malign actors across the region. Should the regime collapse, other aspiring regional powers will seek to fill the void. And while many countries may think regional leadership is theirs to inherit, there is one powerful player to watch: the Republic of Turkey. The country has the second-largest army in NATO. It has a growing drone industry and a government-tied military contractor, SADAT, that is training and arming militias across the Muslim world. Concurrently, Ankara has been cultivating terrorist proxies in the Middle East for years. The Turks are key patrons of Hamas, dating back nearly two decades…READ MORE

AXIOS Kurds backed by Mossad, CIA could lead next phase of war in Iran Militants from several Kurdish Iranian factions are preparing for a possible ground offensive against Iran’s regime in the northwestern part of the country, according to U.S. and Israeli officials and a senior official in one of the Iranian-Kurdish factions. A Kurdish ground offensive coordinated with the U.S.-Israeli bombing campaign against Tehran would be a potential way to increase pressure on the regime and encourage an internal rebellion that could spread to other parts of Iran. Six days before the war began, five dissident Kurdish Iranian groups sheltering in Iraq announced the formation of the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan to fight Iran.

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“Newsom ridiculed Israel, called for cutting off military support and smeared it as an apartheid state”

COMMENTARY MAG
Newsom’s Bright Idea: Defund Allies in Wartime
Seth Mandel
March 4, 2026

It’s not easy being Gavin Newsom. Every morning the California governor has to wake up and figure out who progressive voters want him to pretend to be. Today they want him to be more of an anti-Israel zealot. So he learned his lines and went on Pod Save America, the Israel-obsessed podcast hosted by former Obama advisers. But Newsom, with his impeccable timing, picked a moment when his performative sneering at our allies would be most insulting to America and the men and women in uniform. “Do you think, looking down the road,” Pod host Jon Favreau asked Newsom, “that the United States should consider maybe, you know, rethinking our military support for Israel?” To which the governor responded: “It breaks my heart, because the current leadership in Israel is walking us down that path where I don’t think you have a choice about that consideration.” READ MORE

TIMES OF ISRAEL Gavin Newsom declares he never has and ‘never will’ accept AIPAC funding Remark by California governor, who is widely expected to run for US president in 2028, signals opposition to the pro-Israel lobby group is increasingly become a litmus test for Democrats

JEWISH INSIDER Senate defeats resolution to halt Iran war, largely along party lines The vote showcased how the Iran war has quickly become a partisan issue, despite lawmakers on both sides of the aisle expressing long-standing concerns about the threat from Iran. With the U.S.-Israel operation against Iran widening, the Senate voted 53-47 on Wednesday afternoon — largely along party lines — to block a procedural vote on a war powers resolution that would have forced the immediate withdrawal of U.S. forces from combat with Iran. Sens. Rand Paul (R-KY) and John Fetterman (D-PA) broke with their respective parties as expected, with Paul voting for and Fetterman voting against the motion, with all other lawmakers voting along party lines.

POLITICO Ties to Israel plague Democrats in top primaries post-Gaza Israel, after a long, devastating war in Gaza, has become so unpopular among many voters in the Democratic base that major candidates in top primaries are using even small connections to the country’s political leaders to hit their opponents. One Illinois Democratic operative involved in this year’s primaries has dredged up a 2019 trip that Illinois U.S. Senate candidate Juliana Stratton took to Israel to meet with the then-leader of the Israeli opposition Tzipi Livni…A Gallup poll released Friday found that around two-thirds of Democrats sympathize more with the Palestinians with only around 20 percent saying they are aligned with Israelis, down from half of Democrats being pro-Israel in 2016. 

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“The nouns have changed. The structure hasn’t.…The accusation is the same. Americans aren’t really in charge. Jews are”

ALGEMEINER
From Coughlin to Carlson: The Return of the ‘Jewish War’ Libel
Micha Danzig
March 4, 2026

Nearly every generation in America produces the same refrain in moments of conflict: this is not our war. Sometimes that argument reflects prudence. Sometimes it reflects hardheaded cost-benefit analysis. But in American history, it has also carried something more corrosive — the suggestion that America is not acting on its own interests at all, that shadowy “foreign” forces are pulling the strings, and that those forces are Jewish. In the 1930s, Father Charles Coughlin aligned himself with the isolationist fervor that would later crystallize into the America First movement. He warned about foreign entanglements and demanded neutrality. In practice, that neutrality meant opposing American support for Britain, while leaving Nazi Germany untouched. Coughlin spoke darkly of “international bankers” and “alien powers.” READ MORE

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“United by their hostility to Israel, the liberal establishment, leftists and right-wing antisemites are hoping to capitalize on a disaster. But it could also backfire on them”

JNS
Trump’s critics have a lot riding on the Iran conflict
Jonathan Tobin
March 2, 2026

Whether they admit it or not, a lot of people are rooting for disaster for the United States and Israel in the conflict that began on Feb. 28, with the two allies attacking the Islamic Republic’s leadership and military targets. And it’s not overstating the matter to acknowledge that the diverse coalition of opponents of President Donald Trump and the Jewish state has a lot riding on whether their Cassandra-like predictions of doom for the administration turn out to be right. If they are, then the extreme right wing of the Republican Party, led by antisemitic podcasters like former Fox News host Tucker Carlson, has an opening that they would hope to use to take over the GOP. A disaster in Iran will also put even more wind in the sails of the intersectional left-wing base of the Democratic Party. READ MORE

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“Why Operation Epic Fury Is the Opening Act of the Indo-Pacific Century”

BEYOND THE IDEOLOGICAL
The Iran Question Is All About China
Zineb Riboua
February 28, 2026

Iran is most often discussed as a nonproliferation problem, a sponsor of terrorism, a regional spoiler. Each of these framings captures a real problem, but none captures what matters most. The nuclear file, the militia archipelago stretching from Lebanon to Yemen, the question of Gulf security architecture: these only acquire their full meaning when read against the backdrop of Chinese grand strategy. In fact, Beijing has spent years and billions of dollars building Iran into a structural asset. Everything that follows in the Middle East flows from this fact. Which is why Operation Epic Fury is the first American military campaign that threatens to sever that asset. By striking Iran directly, the Trump administration is dismantling, whether by design or by consequence, a pillar of China’s regional architecture. READ MORE

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“Israel still viewed more favorably; support for two-state solution highest since 2003”

GALLUP
Israelis No Longer Ahead in Americans’ Middle East Sympathies
Benedict Vigers
February 27, 2026

Forty-one percent of Americans now say they sympathize more with the Palestinians in the Middle East situation, while 36% sympathize more with the Israelis. The five-percentage-point difference is not statistically significant, but it contrasts with a clear lead for the Israelis only a year ago (46% vs. 33%) and larger leads over the prior 24 years…Republicans continue to express greater sympathy for the Israelis than the Palestinians. Seven in 10 Republicans (70%) say they sympathize more with the Israelis, compared with 13% who sympathize more with the Palestinians…Among adults aged 55 and older, 49% sympathize more with the Israelis and 31% with the Palestinians, the first time since 2005 that less than half of older Americans have said they sympathize more with the Israelis. READ MORE

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“Regardless of the desire for Israel to act first, the likeliest scenario may be a jointly launched U.S.-Israel operation”

POLITICO
White House officials believe ‘the politics are a lot better’ if Israel strikes Iran first
Dasha Burns and Nahal Toosi
February 25, 2026

Senior advisers to President Donald Trump would prefer Israel strike Iran before the United States launches an assault on the country, according to two people familiar with ongoing discussions. These Trump administration officials are privately arguing that an Israeli attack would trigger Iran to retaliate, helping muster support from American voters for a U.S. strike. The calculus is a political one — that more Americans would stomach a war with Iran if the United States or an ally were attacked first. Recent polling shows that Americans, and Republicans in particular, support regime change in Iran, but are unwilling to risk any U.S. casualties to achieve it. That means Trump’s team is considering the optics of how an attack is conducted in addition to other justifications — such as Iran’s nuclear program. READ MORE

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