ISRAEL HAYOM (by agreement with JNS)
Israel admits Iran regime collapse less likely than first thought
Yoav Limor
March 15, 2026

Senior officials in Israel now acknowledge that the chances of overthrowing the regime in Iran are lower than initially estimated, and that the current military campaign may end without bringing down the government in Tehran. The assessment reflects the regime’s firm grip on its security apparatus and the ruthless repression that has instilled deep fear among the Iranian public. In recent days, Iran’s leadership has appeared to regain a more orderly control over events inside the country, following the chaos that erupted after the elimination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Decisions are now reportedly being made mainly by Ali Larijani, secretary of the Supreme National Security Council, and Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, speaker of parliament. READ MORE