MIDDLE EAST FORUM
The Ghost of Gaza: How Hamas Survived
Gregg Roman
October 10, 2025
…The fundamental error underlying this agreement is treating Phase One and Phase Two as sequential components of a unified plan when they are incompatible frameworks forced into artificial sequencing. Phase One assumes Hamas can be a reliable partner in hostage release and governance transition. Phase Two assumes Hamas can be coerced into disarmament and permanent political marginalization. These assumptions cannot simultaneously be true. Either Hamas retains sufficient power and legitimacy to function as a governing authority capable of releasing hostages—in which case it will never agree to complete disarmament—or it has been sufficiently defeated that it lacks capacity for governance, in which case Phase One’s mechanisms become unworkable. Israel has chosen the worst of both approaches: granting Hamas legitimacy through negotiation while lacking the leverage to compel compliance with the agreement’s stated objectives. READ MORE
ISRAEL HAYOM Trump Gaza plan on verge of collapse, warns Saudi Arabia and UAE Arab and American sources have confirmed that the Sunni axis, which also includes Bahrain, has warned the White House that the Trump Gaza plan is in danger of falling apart. “As long as Hamas retains its weapons, we will not continue with the process,” the message states. Communications sent to Washington argue that the leniency shown by mediators has allowed the terrorist organization to evade its obligations.